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Edge

This table shows the historic performance of the main construction sectors for the UK with a forecast for 1999. Our full published forecast contains a ten year prediction of the sectors' performance along with comments on the state of the industry. For more details contact us on forecast@lead-edge.co.uk.

Table of Historic & Forecast Construction Industry Output 1984-1999 (£M 1995 Prices)

NEW HOUSING OUTPUT

NEW COMMCL OUTPUT

NEW PUBLIC OUTPUT

NEW INDSTL OUTPUT

NEW INFRAST OUTPUT

R&M HOUSING OUTPUT

R&M OTHER OUTPUT

TOTAL OUTPUT

1983

9044

3658

3194

1735

2735

11493

9933

41792

1984

8591

3973

3376

2198

2772

12357

10235

43502

1985

7720

4349

3384

2573

2713

12917

10378

44034

1986

8383

4840

3298

2317

2814

13454

10418

45524

1987

9704

5844

3329

2612

3053

14749

11338

50629

1988

10771

6757

3293

2895

3588

16140

11992

55436

1989

8819

8777

3557

3217

3853

17149

12764

58136

1990

6793

9988

3853

3132

4769

16821

13019

58375

1991

5924

8738

3929

2695

6197

14808

11842

54133

1992

6486

7019

4434

2528

6570

13820

11068

51925

1993

7191

5794

4541

2438

6732

13661

10622

50979

1994

7769

6143

4758

2688

5941

14356

11037

52692

1995

7135

6209

4661

3008

5660

14595

11376

52644

1996

6876

6810

4279

3149

6118

14654

11978

53864

1997

7514

7938

3534

3437

6028

14969

12047

55467

1998

7370

8885

3760

3537

5839

14677

12288

56356

1999

7586

9648

3728

3346

6247

15065

12228

57847

2000

7833

9938

3845

3440

6125

15460

12491

59132

For 1999 we expect housebuilding output to be near static, although starts will have picked up by 6% as interest rates drop. Manufacturing industry's hard time means that new industrial building will be down by over 2%. However the momentum inherent in the commercial sector will ensure growth of around 10% while the public sector will remain flat. The infrastructure sector (up 6%) will be boosted briefly by the Channel Tunnel Rail Link. Generally, repair and maintenance activity (R&M) will slow in the first half of the year, in response to the economy in 1999.

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